Losing streak meets losing streak when the Raiders host the Falcons at Allegiant Stadium on Monday night. The Raiders are reeling from a 28-13 loss to the Buccaneers, marking their ninth straight defeat—their longest losing run since 2014. Injuries have added to their woes, with quarterback Aidan O’Connell sidelined by a bone bruise. Backup Desmond Ridder steps in against his former team, adding intrigue to an otherwise bleak situation for Las Vegas.
Atlanta hasn’t fared much better, coming off a 42-21 thrashing by the Vikings. The Falcons have now lost four consecutive games, equalling their worst losing streak since 2020-21. Despite this, Atlanta has maintained its competitiveness in tight games, especially on the road, where they average 22.5 points scored—ranking 15th—and allow just 10 points, the 5th-best in the league. This game will test whether the Falcons can capitalise on Las Vegas’ league-worst defence and turn their season around.
The picks for this matchup hinge on the stats. Atlanta’s tendency to keep road games close, paired with their offensive firepower, offers promising opportunities for punters.
Atlanta’s record of 38% in little wins and 62% of games decided by 7 points or less suggests they can win convincingly against the struggling Raiders. The Falcons’ defence should hold firm against a Raiders offence averaging just 18.15 points per game, ranking 27th overall.
Pick: Spread -4.5 (1.98)
Given Las Vegas’ dismal defence—allowing 28 points per game at home—and their rank of 6th-worst in touchdowns conceded, this game sets up for a decisive Falcons victory. Atlanta’s offensive depth, led by their wide receivers and running backs, could seal a big win.
Pick: Big Win (3.25)
The Raiders’ scoring woes combined with Atlanta’s impressive defensive road form make this matchup a prime candidate for the under. With both teams struggling offensively in recent weeks, a low-scoring affair is likely.
Pick: Under +44.5 (1.90)
Top Picks
Bijan Robinson has been Atlanta’s standout performer, tallying 9 touchdowns this season (8 rushing, 1 receiving) and averaging 0.69 TDs per game. Against a Raiders defence ranked 8th-worst in RB touchdowns allowed (13), Robinson is a strong favourite to score.
Pick: Bijan Robinson (1.46)
The Falcons will look to snap their losing streak against a vulnerable Las Vegas team. If they play to their strengths—tight defence and solid ground game—this game could deliver big wins for punters looking for an edge.
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